Politikkens betydning for innvandringen til Norge (2012)

av:  Ådne Cappelen, Terje Skjerpen og Marianne Tønnessen

I: Søkelys på arbeidslivet Årg. 29, Nr. 4 (2012). S. 277-288

I 2011 flyttet 79 500 mennesker hit til landet. Beregninger viser at norske innvandringspolitiske vedtak siden 1974 har begrenset innvandringen til Norge med drøye 115 000 personer. 

EØS- og Schengen-avtalen har trukket i den andre retningen: Uten disse avtalene ville Norge fått drøye 77 000 færre nye innvandrere mellom 1994 og 2010.

Denne analysen viser at innvandringen er høyere jo lavere arbeidsledigheten er, og jo flere fra det aktuelle landet som allerede har reist til Norge. Inntektsforskjellene ser ut til å spille en mindre rolle.

Artikkelen er basert på SSB-rapporten fra 2011.

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Mer utdypende informasjon:

SSB: Report 2011/40

Effects of immigration policies on immigration to Norway 1969-2010

Av: Ådne Cappelen, Jørgen Ouren og Terje Skjerpen

Konklusjoner: Political measures have reduced immigration to Norway Between 1972 and 2010, a range of immigration policy measures were implemented. For the period as a whole, immigration to Norway would have been 6.6 per cent higher, i.e. 60 000 more immigrants, if the rules had not been changed. The immigration freeze in 1974 has contributed to the major, long-term reduction in immigration. SSB: Discussion Paper No. 687 (March 2012) Immigration to Norway 1969-2010: Effects of policies and EEA membership Av: Ådne Cappelen og Terje Skjerpen Fra abstract: We examine how changes to regulations and the economic conditions have influenced gross immigration to Norway from, in principle, all countries in the world during 1969-2010. In line with existing studies of immigration we find that economic factors were important for immigration to Norway. Income differences between Norway and other countries have the expected impact, as do changes in income distributions. The labour market situation has also been important in that lower unemployment in Norway has resulted in higher immigration and higher unemployment in the country of origin has led to higher emigration to Norway. We find that immigration policies have largely had the expected effects.